I think generally the local USA guys make it to five games, maybe more. Bob and I in the past have picked them out of the crowd quite a few times. But the dynamic isn't as strong as it is in football. There are some elements that are helping -- twitter among them -- but I've asked guys recently and they don't often know everyone in their class before they show up on campus. I think that'll improve but because hockey games are a few times per week, and everyone has a different schedule, i don't think it's that easy for them to communicate as often as the football guys do.
2. Depends who you ask, but for Michigan nowadays, they generally hit on 70-80% of the kids they offer. They're a bit like OSU in football back in the day where they wouldn't really offer a kid unless they knew he was going to commit. There exceptions, such as Trouba and Tkachuk most recently, but the amount of kids that U-M offers in a class that actually takes his time and has options is generally 2-4 per year.
3. No word on Tkachuk yet but Michigan does have a chance. The family lives in St. Louis and because they live in the Midwest, they're not automatic Hockey East guys. I think the odds are long, but I think U-M has a 30-40% chance.