14-3-0 over its next 17 (15 regular-season games and at least two playoff contests) to get to that .579 winning percentage that has been typical of the final at-large team in the NCAA Tournament over the last 10 years. Sounds doable. Uh ... That's a tall, tall order. I think it's more likely Michigan finishes under .500 then it goes on a tear. Though maybe with Merrill back, and with Janecyk looking decent enough in net. It's not over until it's over certainly, but they really need to start 3-0 with their first three second-half games at home.