July 6, 2012
Who's No. 1? Comparing the 1998 and 2013 classes
After Thursday's news that four-star wide receiver Laquon Treadwell is likely to commit to Michigan soon, U-M fans on The Fort were asking if the 2013 class will rank as the best ever. Most opine that honor belongs to the 1998 cohort so we've compared them for you to draw your own conclusions ...
Thanks to our extensive office library, we were able to go back to the 1998 Recruiting Issue and look up the rankings of all 19 members of that class. Rivals.com didn't exist yet, but there were enough recruiting magazines out there to form a consensus on the individuals' likely rank.
Since Rivals' team rankings are accumulated based on its 6.1, 6.0, 5.9. 5.8, 5.7, etc. scale, we decided to rank the 1998 class based on the same formula and came up with the chart below.
|1998 Class||2013 Class|
|RB||Justin Fargas||6.1 (5-star)||QB||Shane Morris||6.0 (4-star)|
|WR||David Terrell||6.1 (5)||OL||Chris Fox||6.0 (4)|
|WR||Marquise Walker||6.1 (5)||LB||Mike McCray||6.0 (4)|
|QB||Drew Henson||6.1 (5)||DL||Henry Poggi ||6.0 (4)|
|TE||Bennie Joppru||6.0 (4)||OL||Kyle Bosch||5.9 (4)|
|LB||Larry Foote||6.0 (4)||TE||Jake Butt||5.9 (4)|
|DL||Dave Armstrong||6.0 (4)||OL||Patrick Kugler||5.9 (4)|
|DB||Cato June||6.0 (4)||DB||Dymonte Thomas||5.9 (4)|
|LB||Victor Hobson||5.9 (4)||DE||Taco Charlton||5.8 (4)|
|DL||Dan Rumishek||5.9 (4)||OL||David Dawson||5.8 (4)|
|RB||Walter Cross||5.8 (4)||LB||Ben Gedeon||5.8 (4)|
|DB||Julius Curry||5.8 (4)||DB||Jourden Lewis||5.8 (4)|
|DB||Todd Howard||5.8 (4)||RB||Wyatt Shallman||5.8 (4)|
|ATH||Evan Coleman||5.7 (3)||OL||Logan Tuley-Tillman||5.8 (4)|
|OL||Joe Denay||5.7 (3)||WR||Jaron Dukes||5.7 (3)|
|PK/P||Hayden Epstein||5.7 (3)||DL||Maurice Hurst Jr.||5.7 (3)|
|ATH||Dave Petruziello||5.7 (3)||WR||Csont'e York||5.7 (3)|
|TE||Deitan Dubuc||5.6 (3)||RB||Deveon Smith||5.7 (3)|
|DL||Shawn Lazarus||5.6 (3)||DB||Gareon Conley||5.6 (3)|
|TE||Khalid Hill||5.6 (3)|
An amazing four recruits - quarterback Drew Henson, running back Justin Fargas, and wide receivers David Terrell and Marquise Walker - were ranked among the top three players at their positions, with Henson the No. 1 pro-style QB and Fargas the consensus No. 1 tailback nationally.
Tight end Bennie Joppru, linebacker Larry Foote, defensive lineman David Armstrong and defensive back Cato June were also ranked among the top five to eight at their positions, and were regarded as top 30-50 players nationally so they deserved the 6.0 rating.
After that, we fill in the rest.
The Rivals.com team rankings formula awards 150 points to prospects given a 6.1 rating, 135 points to 6.0, 120 points to 5.9 and on and on (to see the full explanation, click here)
Rivals then awards bonus points for prospects ranked in the Rivals250, however, since it would be impossible for us to rank the 1998 class we withdrew the points assigned to the 2013 class, eliminating 409 points. That's a big hit, especially with 14 current commitments in the top 250, but it is the only fair way to do it (plus if we could assign rankings to the 1998 class, 13 members probably would have been in a Rivals250).
Taking this approach, the Class of 2013 ends up with 2,160 points and the 1998 class ends up with 2,205 points. If Treadwell were to commit - for the rankings Rivals only uses the top 20 recruits in the class - his 135 points would replace tight end Khalid Hill's 75 points, giving the 2013 class the edge 2,220 to 2,205.
If U-M landed five-star tailback Derrick Green too (a far slimmer possibility), his 150 points would supplant cornerback Gareon Conley's 75 points, giving the 2013 class 2,295, easily giving it the crown over the 1998 haul.
Of course, beauty is in the eye of the beholder, so it's entirely up to you to decide which class was better.
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