ESPN analyst Todd McShay appeared on a conference call this morning to discuss a wide variety of topics pertaining to the April 29 through May 1 NFL Draft. McShay went in depth on two Michigan Wolverines football players during the call, providing his own personal thoughts on defensive end Kwity Paye and wideout Nico Collins.
Paye is unanimously viewed as a first-round pick by experts, but despite possessing immense physical traits, the same can't be said for Collins. Plenty of projections have the receiver being selected in the middle rounds, but McShay made it clear the Birmingham, Ala., native is being undervalued.
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“I’ve always liked this guy," he began, referring to Collins. "I did a couple Michigan games two years ago as the sideline analyst [and got to see him in person]. He didn’t have great quarterback play and wasn’t always utilized properly.
"He can get down the field and accelerate so quickly for a receiver with his size. Collins is big and fast — he’s not a great route runner in terms of getting in and out of breaks, but as a vertical route runner, can stretch the field and put a lot of pressure on defenses.
"I’ve talked to some teams who have him as a Day 3 pick, but I think he belongs somewhere in that third-round range, and maybe even second. You just don’t get many guys who are 6-4 and over 200 pounds who can run in the low 4.4s [in the 40-yard dash].
"The way he accelerates so quickly is what separates him from some of the other bigger receivers in this class. Collins gets to top speed in a hurry and tracks the ball vertically very well.
"He sees it, knows when to turn his head and can adjust to it because of how good his body control is.”
One of the primary complaints surrounding Michigan's offense over the last decade has been the lack of NFL-level skill position players, with wide receiver obviously fitting that description.
The Maize and Blue program used to see wideouts hear their names called within the first three rounds of the NFL Draft on a frequent basis all throughout the Gary Moeller (1990-94) and Lloyd Carr (1995-07) eras, but saw that trend come to a screeching halt following Carr's retirement in 2007.
From 1990 through 2008, eight different Michigan wide receivers came off the board within the first three rounds of the NFL Draft, including four first-round picks during that span (Desmond Howard in 1992, Derrick Alexander in 1994, David Terrell in 2001 and Braylon Edwards in 2005).
Since then, only two U-M wideouts have gone within the first three stanzas — Devin Funchess in the second round in 2015 and Amara Darboh in the third round in 2017.
McShay Expects Paye to be the "First or Second Edge Rusher" off the Board
Most projections have Paye coming off the board in the 10-20 range in this year's draft, with very few prognosticators expecting him to still be remaining once the late 20s roll around.
Although McShay didn't give a specific destination on where he expects Paye to land, it was clear he was on board with the aforementioned notion.
“Paye will either be the first or second edge rusher off the board," the analyst said. "The first thing that jumped out to me when studying him was how sudden he is. He has that first step quickness.
"I don’t know if he was always used properly, if you will — you have to get this guy up the field. The second thing that jumps out to me after the suddenness is his motor. There were no Michigan players who played harder than Kwity Paye.
"He was always chasing plays down from behind and giving maximum effort, and I love that about him. I think he’ll be a better pro than he was college player. His production was solid in college, though not elite.
"If he’s developed properly and in the right system, he’ll have a chance to be a really good pro.”
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